According to monitoring data, in 2020, the global organic silicon production capacity will exceed 3 million tons/year (in terms of siloxane, the same below), an increase of 155,000 tons/year year-on-year, and all new production capacity in 2020 will be concentrated in China.
China's organic silicon production capacity expansion plans are very aggressive in the future. If all the new projects are successfully completed and put into operation, the global silicone production capacity will increase by more than 60% to 4.915 million tons/year, while China's silicone production capacity will increase by nearly 130% to 3.399 million tons/year. By then, China's organic silicon production capacity will increase from 50% increased to nearly 70%. However, there is a big uncertainty as to whether the newly planned projects can be completed and put into production. According to industry professionals, the capacity of the above-mentioned projects that can be completed and put into production is about 650,000 tons/year. It is estimated that in 2023, the global organic silicon production capacity will reach 3.651 million tons/year, and China's organic silicon production capacity will reach 2.289 million tons/year.
Silicone is widely used in almost all industrial fields and high-tech fields such as construction, textiles, electronics, transportation, aerospace, new energy, medical, daily chemicals and personal care. It is an indispensable material in modern industry and daily life , Therefore, the growth of organic silicon demand and GDP growth (economic growth) are highly correlated. According to historical data analysis, the growth rate of global organic silicon demand is generally 2% to 3% higher than the GDP growth rate over the same period.
It is expected that the global organic silicon demand will continue to grow rapidly in the future, and the main driving factors include: global economic recovery. With the expansion of the scope of new crown vaccination, the impact of the epidemic on the world will gradually fade in the future, and a greater recovery of the global economy will be a high probability event, which will drive the growth of silicone demand.
